After yesterday's concern over the Crazy Uncle President, I feel much better today. The CBC covered the predictions of Polly, the Ottawa-based AI pollster, who has successfully predicted the last US and Canadian elections. It uses Twitter data rather than any live interviews/phone calls. It samples the same 290,000 Americans (via their Twitter posts). "She" follows voting intent as well as identifying how opinions are trending on major issues.
The CBC said: "Polly is no traditional pollster. Polly is an artificial intelligence system built by Ottawa-based startup Advanced Symbolics Inc. (ASI) that scrapes public data from social media networks to predict election outcomes."
And what was the news that was so notable? Here's their latest on the election: "Trump slowing losing ground" - HERE's the US Forecast via a map. Here's another version at Pollyvote.com - in all, the prediction is that Biden will win by a landslide.
So far, successful predictions exceed 20 - since 2004. For example, they have predicted Brexit in the UK, the 2016 US Federal election of Trump , the Ontario government 2018 election, and the 2019 Canadian Federal election. I'd like to list the 20 that are referenced but can't find them easily.
What are they working on now? A model that can be used to predict Covid-19 outbreaks in Canada. The documentary on the company is titled Margin of Error.
So with their prediction that Biden will win by a landslide, there's a little less stress. I can focus more on the chewing, playing, peeing, eating and sleeping little puppy.
We had a glorious sunrise yesterday - too bad I could only catch it on my street. The next view is from Flat Rock Cellars in Vineland. The little white blip on the Lake's horizon is the Toronto skyline. And finally, this week's Millie "cute picture".
