"Tipping Point Pennsylvania". Can you imagine that as a tourist slogan? What about us in Canada? Do we have anything as drastic as this?
This from Eric Grenier in 2021: "The concept is pretty simple: line-up all 338 ridings according to how likely a party is to win them, and the one that sits at the 170th spot is the tipping point seat needed for a majority government...it gives us an idea of the kind of seat each party needs to win the election. How that seat shifts around gives us an indication of how the electoral map is shifting around." There are four seats on his 2021 chart.
That article was 2021 so I wonder if those tipping point seats can change over time. His article outlines swings within weeks - not at all like Pennsylvania which seems to score as the champion as the tipping point state in the US elections.
Our tipping points are individual seats - that was in 2021. In comparison to the U.S., this is a simple chart with the details HERE. I expect our tipping point ridings shift about over time. I guess Eric Grenier will give us an update when our next election comes.
He always has a current view of political parties now that we have an election in the near future.
So many charts. We are locked onto politics in this moment-by-moment analysis. Was I not paying attention in the past? What happened?
We know the answer. Our sense of the United States election might be compared to California tumbling into the ocean from the big earthquake. How far will the tidal wave go? How long will it last? Compelling but cataclysmic.
And of course: more news with pictures at 10:00.
Here's an image that is a thought for Election Day USA.
