Showing posts with label disruption. Show all posts
Showing posts with label disruption. Show all posts

Monday, January 9, 2023

Jan 9 2023 - Silk Journeys On

 

I have a continuing complaint about the poor quality of fabric used in clothes today, so thought I would find out about the timeline of these significant changes in 50 years.  I started with silk.

Excerpts from retinkdisruption.com Dropping Silk Stockings Created an Oral Health Revolution from June 30, 2022 by Bradd Libby HERE:

"The leading export from Japan and China from 1850 to 1930 was silk. 

"According to Debin Ma of Hitotsubashi University, scientifically produced hybrid silkworm varieties, which accounted for less than 10% of Japanese silk production in 1914, were more than 80% just eight years later and over 90% of production by 1924. The Lower Yangtze region of China saw a similarly dramatic change in silkworm varieties, albeit about thirteen years after Japan’s transformation, going from less than 10% hybrid in 1928 to more than 90% in 1937.

"Japan’s lead in both the mechanization of silk reeling and in the adoption of hybrid worm varieties gave it the edge to outcompete China. In 1873, China was exporting three times as much raw silk as Japan. By 1930, the situation had completely reversed, with Japanese exports tripling those of China.

"The is another part of the ‘pattern of disruption’ we have seen: new technologies are often adopted by outsiders, and the winners from one era of technology can become the losers in the next. Japan adopted machine-reeling of silk fiber before China, and led the development of scientifically bred varieties of silkworms, and so dominated the silk market by the early 1930s.

"But this new era would not last long. DuPont first brought Carother’s nylon fiber to market in 1938. DuPont’s nylon stockings first went on sale in May 1940.

"But the attack on Pearl Harbor brought Asian exports of silk to a sudden halt. Soon after the introduction of nylon stockings, the sales of all women’s stockings collapsed as both the supply of Japanese silk abruptly ended and as DuPont diverted all nylon production to the manufacture of parachutes, rope, aircraft fuel tanks, flak jackets, hammocks, mosquito netting, and other products.

"Nylon became known as “the fiber that won the war.” For four years American women had to ‘make do’ the best they could with substitutes like leg make-up, a cosmetic painted onto the legs to make it look like the user was wearing stockings.

"When the war ended, there was such a rush to buy nylon stockings again that fights broke out over the limited supply, the so-called ‘Nylon Riots’. The sales of silk stockings never recovered."

And silk today?  

"Several companies, including the San Francisco Bay Area’s Bolt Threads, are attempting to use genetically modified microorganisms to produce silk proteins.

According to Virginia Postrel, “if the endeavor succeeds, silk won’t need to come from insects. It will be brewed in giant fermentation vats like beer. And the process has implications beyond silk. Wool, too, is a protein polymer. So is cashmere. So are countless other fibers we can barely imagine.”

And that's just silk!



Perhaps it is the silky petals of Dahlias that make them so beautiful.
 
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Sunday, January 5, 2020

Jan 5 - SizeMe

Would you want to know how long you will live?  Quantumrun.com - the company that forecasts trends has a service to assess how long a company will last.  It is intriguing, isn't it?  They say that the trend for companies to survive has dropped from 92% before 1970 to 63% in the 2000s.

It seems to me that corporate survival can be analyzed.  It takes a lot of analysis, though, as there are many factors involved - government control, political influence, strategic nature of the industry, R&D budget, patents, access to capital, and many more.  


Skip to industry vulnerability to disruption - that's popular and gets my attention.  We're tuned in now to emerging technological, scientific, cultural, and politically disruptive trends.

Can a field and industry be primed for disruption? Forbes says that it can be and listed a number of areas that would be disrupted in 2019.  These included Doctor's Office Visits, Financial And Legal Services, Healthcare Diagnostics, Education, Automotive Industry, Insurance and so on.  Mostly they cover new apps and some of these seem ordinary.

And then there are apps that will really disrupt an industry. Take this one for clothing:
Say hello to sizer.  A personalized measuring & size recommendation tool, which simply integrates with any e-commerce site, and recommends to shoppers the best size to buy.  

Some have already gone farther with this - there are a few retail offerings of bespoke clothes from designers.  What will this app be combined with to really disrupt things?  Automated sewing and 3D printing for clothes.  Amazon, the personalized clothes retailer, seems to be on the horizon.  SizeMe at Amazon.

Today we see a Himalayan Poppy - one of the most beautifully coloured flowers - cerulean blue. Its botanical name is Meconopsis betonicifolia. This one was at Longwood Gardens.
 
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Monday, October 14, 2019

Heme Here to Disrupt

Here it is Canadian Thanksgiving.  There's a turkey in the oven and my topic today is the key to the beyond meat and meatless trend these days.  CBC Radio told me about it yesterday - it is heme protein.  Impossible Foods have patents covering the use of heme in plant-based meat.  The core ingredient is soy protein and star ingredient is heme made via genetically engineered yeast.

These are the proteins that transport and store oxygen in mammals.  This is  what makes the juicy, meaty flavour in non-meat burgers.  It can be used to produce anything like this - cheese, milk, and so on.

The CBC interview was with Catherine Tubb from technology disruption think-tank company RethinkX - her point was that food and agriculture will no longer be raising livestock.  Instead protein will be generated - like yeast - we'll be doing it at home.  I found recipes for Impossible Burgers to make at home HERE.  I have to try this - it looks fun.

So the prediction is that cows will be obsolete as a food source by 2030.  With precision fermentation products, food will be cheaper and superior to animal-derived foods.  The agricultural industry will collapse, including the value of agricultural land.  

And the trend is unfolding - the Good Food Institute says that $16 billion has been invested into US plant-based meat, egg, and dairy companies in the last 10 years.  Impossible Foods is now valued at $2 billion.  In 2015, Google offered $300 million for the company.

Just in our recent past, disruption occurred when the car replaced the horse and carriage.  There was no need causing it - there was opportunity.  She says that disruption in agriculture is the same.  There's more transportation disruption on the horizon.  Their website says: "
By 2030, within 10 years of regulatory approval of Autonomous Vehicles (AVs), 95 percent of U.S. passenger miles traveled will be served by on-demand autonomous electric vehicles owned by fleets, not individuals, in a new business model we call “transport-as-a-service” (TaaS).  This means that even if it is slower than 10 years, we will experience it.

Today we have a colourized version of one of the motion blur palm pictures.
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