The weather forecast has taken to predicting changes in the weather in minutes - it said this morning snow in 27 minutes. I await the moment as the sky darkens with clouds. Environment Canada has warned us of a coming snowstorm. I know that weather forecasts are much more accurate than decades ago,
Google's DeepMind and others are at the forefront of the weather forecasting revolution with AI models.
So the weather report on my smart phone gives a different forecast than the weather network on my computer. So now I have a typical dilemma of figuring out which one is going to be the chosen authority. Well, there's a third authority - Environment Canada and I usually vote with it.
Is that the case? Does Environment have the most accurate forecast? Is there a comparison that shows who won the accurate forecasting contest? This is important as accurate weather forecasting is an input to quite a few areas: agriculture, energy, transportation and aviation and tourism. And then there's the impact of weather forecast accuracy - take a heat wave - a 1 degree difference is significant, particularly when it comes to heat.
Here's a number: "In the U.S. the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration issues 1.5 million forecasts per year and collects around 76 billion weather observations that help it and private companies make better forecasts."
That's a big database of information. Too bad it isn't a popular topic on the internet. Wouldn't we like to find out more statistics!
This is the cute Painted Lady on the corner in Grimsby Beach. It is often known as the Photographer's House. Which version do you like better?
Are there pipers piping or ladies dancing today? There are so many variations in the 12 days of Christmas, so I'll cover both today.
As for pipers piping, we don't have much in the way of musical pipers anymore. We have piper airplanes and pubs named after pipers. There are "The Pipers" - a pair of standing stones near The Hurlers stone circles on Bodmin Moor in Cornwall, UK. According to folklore they represent musicians playing for three circles of dancers who were turned to stone for engaging in festivities on a holy day.
And what kind of pipe would they have been a-piping or playing? There's a folk pipe with six holes (also known as a fipple flute) , a tabor pipe with three holes, a reed pipe, and hornpipe. Flageolets were developed from the tabor pipe and became an orchestral instrument. In the U.K. there was a Pipers' Guild in the first half of the 20th century. Bagpipes are still with us, but they've been known as bagpipes since Roman times, so they don't seem to make sense as the pipes in our song.
In comparison "9 Ladies Dancing" is an expression that has been taken on to describe products and activities. One can get it barrel-aged at the Bruery - the Beer of the Month Club. There are several Nine ladies dancing videos, 9 Ladies Dancing Punch recipe at Serious Eats, 9 Ladies Dancing Productions, a 9 Ladies Dancing book on Amazon.
Who were these ladies? "Lady" is a civil term of respect for a woman among English speakers - the equivalent of gentleman. I expect that in this traditional song it is a formal title for woman of high social class. Gentleman/Lady is a rank in the hierarchy of royal, noble and chivalric ranks, as shown in the wikipedia entry for Lady. "Lady" has evolved into many expressive terms, some of refinement and others of derision. "Hey lady" would not be a term of endearment today. However, the "First Lady" is the well-known title for the U.S. President's wife.
Today's images celebrate the second of January with two flowers and two walls. Where does the blue path lead to?
